# Orleans: Benjamin Bonzi vs Andrea Pellegrino: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Orleans: Benjamin Bonzi vs Andrea Pellegrino". Orleans: Benjamin Bonzi vs Andrea Pellegrino leads at 89.5%. Next is Orleans: Benjamin Bonzi vs Andrea Pellegrino at 83%. $1K has traded across 11 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 16, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-09T07:48:20Z (5 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 16, 2026
- Volume traded: $1K
- Venues: Polymarket
- Category: sports

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Orleans: Benjamin Bonzi vs Andrea Pellegrino | 89.5% | 89.5% |
| Orleans: Benjamin Bonzi vs Andrea Pellegrino | 83% | 83% |
| Orleans: Benjamin Bonzi vs Andrea Pellegrino | 70% | 70% |
| Completed Match | 53% | 53% |
| Orleans: Benjamin Bonzi vs Andrea Pellegrino | 50% | 50% |
| Orleans: Benjamin Bonzi vs Andrea Pellegrino | 49% | 49% |
| Orleans: Benjamin Bonzi vs Andrea Pellegrino | 46.5% | 46.5% |
| Orleans: Benjamin Bonzi vs Andrea Pellegrino | 27.5% | 27.5% |
| Orleans: Benjamin Bonzi vs Andrea Pellegrino | 26.5% | 26.5% |
| Orleans: Benjamin Bonzi vs Andrea Pellegrino | 26.5% | 26.5% |
| Orleans: Benjamin Bonzi vs Andrea Pellegrino | 25.5% | 25.5% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle. Sources: [atptour.com](https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current).

## Settlement rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Benjamin Bonzi and Andrea Pellegrino in the Orleans, originally scheduled for November 9, 2026 at 4:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Benjamin Bonzi' if Benjamin Bonzi advances against Andrea Pellegrino.

This market will resolve to 'Andrea Pellegrino' if Andrea Pellegrino advances against Benjamin Bonzi.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/orleans-benjamin-bonzi-vs-andrea-pellegrino
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/atp-bonzi-pellegr-2026-11-09?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/orleans-benjamin-bonzi-vs-andrea-pellegrino

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.