# Orleans: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Daniel Altmaier: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Orleans: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Daniel Altmaier". Daniel Altmaier leads at 70%. Next is Orleans: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Daniel Altmaier Game Spread +/-3.5 at 60%. $4K has traded across 12 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 18, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-11T09:03:05Z (9 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 18, 2026
- Volume traded: $4K
- Venues: Polymarket, Kalshi
- Category: sports

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket | Kalshi | Gap between venues |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Daniel Altmaier | 70% | — | 70% | not on both |
| Orleans: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Daniel Altmaier Game Spread +/-3.5 | 60% | 60% | — | not on both |
| Orleans: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Daniel Altmaier Game Spread +/-3.5 | 52.5% | 52.5% | — | not on both |
| Orleans: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Daniel Altmaier Game Spread +/-3.5 | 50% | 50% | — | not on both |
| Orleans: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Daniel Altmaier Game Spread +/-3.5 | 47.5% | 47.5% | — | not on both |
| Orleans: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Daniel Altmaier Game Spread +/-3.5 | 45.5% | 45.5% | — | not on both |
| Orleans: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Daniel Altmaier Game Spread +/-3.5 | 44.5% | 44.5% | — | not on both |
| Orleans: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Daniel Altmaier Game Spread +/-3.5 | 39.5% | 39.5% | — | not on both |
| Orleans: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Daniel Altmaier Game Spread +/-3.5 | 35.5% | 35.5% | — | not on both |
| Buvaysar Gadamauri | 31% | — | 31% | not on both |
| Orleans: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Daniel Altmaier Game Spread +/-3.5 | 29.5% | 29.5% | — | not on both |
| Orleans: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Daniel Altmaier Game Spread +/-3.5 | 16% | 16% | — | not on both |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle. Sources: [atptour.com](https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current).
- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [ATP](https://www.atptour.com/).

## Settlement rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Buvaysar Gadamauri and Daniel Altmaier in the Orleans, originally scheduled for November 11, 2026 at 6:30AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Buvaysar Gadamauri' if Buvaysar Gadamauri advances against Daniel Altmaier.

This market will resolve to 'Daniel Altmaier' if Daniel Altmaier advances against Buvaysar Gadamauri.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/orleans-buvaysar-gadamauri-vs-daniel-altmaier
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/atp-gadamau-altmaie-2026-11-11?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxatpchallengermatch?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/orleans-buvaysar-gadamauri-vs-daniel-altmaier

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.