# Orleans: Max Houkes vs Tom Gentzsch: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Orleans: Max Houkes vs Tom Gentzsch". Tom Gentzsch leads at 73%. Next is Orleans: Max Houkes vs Tom Gentzsch at 67%. $3K has traded across 12 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 16, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-09T07:48:20Z (7 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 16, 2026
- Volume traded: $3K
- Venues: Polymarket, Kalshi
- Category: sports

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket | Kalshi | Gap between venues |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Tom Gentzsch | 73% | — | 73% | not on both |
| Orleans: Max Houkes vs Tom Gentzsch | 67% | 67% | — | not on both |
| Orleans: Max Houkes vs Tom Gentzsch | 55.5% | 55.5% | — | not on both |
| Completed Match | 52% | 52% | — | not on both |
| Orleans: Max Houkes vs Tom Gentzsch | 50% | 50% | — | not on both |
| Orleans: Max Houkes vs Tom Gentzsch | 47% | 47% | — | not on both |
| Orleans: Max Houkes vs Tom Gentzsch | 43.5% | 43.5% | — | not on both |
| Orleans: Max Houkes vs Tom Gentzsch | 31.5% | 31.5% | — | not on both |
| Orleans: Max Houkes vs Tom Gentzsch | 30% | 30% | — | not on both |
| Max Houkes | 27% | — | 27% | not on both |
| Orleans: Max Houkes vs Tom Gentzsch | 26.5% | 26.5% | — | not on both |
| Orleans: Max Houkes vs Tom Gentzsch | 26.5% | 26.5% | — | not on both |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle. Sources: [atptour.com](https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current).
- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [ATP](https://www.atptour.com/).

## Settlement rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Max Houkes and Tom Gentzsch in the Orleans, originally scheduled for November 9, 2026 at 10:30AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Max Houkes' if Max Houkes advances against Tom Gentzsch.

This market will resolve to 'Tom Gentzsch' if Tom Gentzsch advances against Max Houkes.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/orleans-max-houkes-vs-tom-gentzsch
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/atp-houkes-gentzsc-2026-11-09?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxatpchallengermatch?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/orleans-max-houkes-vs-tom-gentzsch

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.