# Pennsylvania Republican Senate nominee? (2028): prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Pennsylvania Republican Senate nominee? (2028)". John Fetterman leads at 25.7%. Next is Dave Sunday at 21.9%. $13K has traded across 8 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 7, 2028.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-12T08:43:05Z (10 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 7, 2028
- Volume traded: $13K
- Venues: Kalshi
- Category: politics

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Kalshi |
| --- | --- | --- |
| John Fetterman | 25.7% | 27% |
| Dave Sunday | 21.9% | 23% |
| Dan Meuser | 15.2% | 16% |
| Guy Reschenthaler | 8.6% | 9% |
| Brian Fitzpatrick | 8.5% | 8.9% |
| Stacy Garrity | 7.1% | 7.4% |
| Scott Perry | 6.7% | 7% |
| Rob Bresnahan | 6.3% | 6.6% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume, with each venue's margin removed so outcomes add to 100%. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [Republican Party of Pennsylvania](https://www.pagop.org/), [Associated Press](https://apnews.com), [Decision Desk HQ](https://decisiondeskhq.com/results/).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/pennsylvania-republican-senate-nominee-2028
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxsenatenom?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/pennsylvania-republican-senate-nominee-2028

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.