# PGA Tour: Austin Championship Third Round Leader: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "PGA Tour: Austin Championship Third Round Leader". Ben James leads at 49.5%. Next is Cam Davis at 49.5%. $5K has traded across 123 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 15, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-09T15:13:20Z (1 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 15, 2026
- Volume traded: $5K
- Venues: Polymarket, Kalshi
- Category: sports

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket | Kalshi | Gap between venues |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Ben James | 49.5% | 49.5% | — | not on both |
| Cam Davis | 49.5% | 49.5% | — | not on both |
| Cheng Tsung Pan | 49.5% | 49.5% | — | not on both |
| Henry Lebioda | 49.5% | 49.5% | — | not on both |
| Tommy Morrison | 49.5% | 49.5% | — | not on both |
| Zach Bauchou | 49.5% | 49.5% | — | not on both |
| Ze-Cheng Dou | 49.5% | 49.5% | — | not on both |
| Peter Malnati | 30.2% | 49.5% | 9.6% | 39.9 pts |
| Jackson Koivun | 29.7% | 49.5% | 9.8% | 39.7 pts |
| Neal Shipley | 29.5% | 49.5% | 9.4% | 40.1 pts |
| Blades Brown | 28.4% | 49.5% | 7.3% | 42.2 pts |
| Jordan L. Smith | 27.1% | 49.5% | 4.7% | 44.9 pts |
| Johnny Keefer | 27.1% | 49.5% | 4.6% | 44.9 pts |
| Jesper Svensson | 27% | 49.5% | 4.6% | 45.0 pts |
| John Parry | 27% | 49.5% | 4.6% | 45.0 pts |
| Justin Lower | 27% | 49.5% | 4.6% | 45.0 pts |
| Kensei Hirata | 27% | 49.5% | 4.6% | 45.0 pts |
| Kevin Roy | 27% | 49.5% | 4.6% | 45.0 pts |
| Kevin Streelman | 27% | 49.5% | 4.6% | 45.0 pts |
| Lee Hodges | 27% | 49.5% | 4.6% | 45.0 pts |
| Lucas Glover | 27% | 49.5% | 4.6% | 45.0 pts |
| Luke Clanton | 27% | 49.5% | 4.6% | 45.0 pts |
| Mackenzie Hughes | 27% | 49.5% | 4.6% | 45.0 pts |
| Mark Hubbard | 27% | 49.5% | 4.6% | 45.0 pts |
| Matt Kuchar | 27% | 49.5% | 4.6% | 45.0 pts |
| Matt McCarty | 27% | 49.5% | 4.6% | 45.0 pts |
| Max Greyserman | 27% | 49.5% | 4.6% | 45.0 pts |
| Max Homa | 27% | 49.5% | 4.6% | 45.0 pts |
| Hao-Tong Li | 27% | 49.5% | 4.5% | 45.0 pts |
| Jackson Suber | 27% | 49.5% | 4.5% | 45.1 pts |
| Jeffrey Kang | 27% | 49.5% | 4.5% | 45.1 pts |
| Joe Highsmith | 27% | 49.5% | 4.5% | 45.1 pts |
| Mac Meissner | 27% | 49.5% | 4.5% | 45.1 pts |
| Marcelo Rozo | 27% | 49.5% | 4.5% | 45.1 pts |
| Marco Penge | 27% | 49.5% | 4.5% | 45.1 pts |
| Matthieu Pavon | 27% | 49.5% | 4.5% | 45.1 pts |
| Max McGreevy | 27% | 49.5% | 4.5% | 45.1 pts |
| Miles Russell | 27% | 49.5% | 4.5% | 45.1 pts |
| Nicholas Lindheim | 27% | 49.5% | 4.5% | 45.1 pts |
| Nick Dunlap | 27% | 49.5% | 4.5% | 45.1 pts |

Showing the top 40 of 123 outcomes. 
"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle. Sources: [pgatour.com](https://www.pgatour.com/).
- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [the Governing League](https://www.pgatour.com/).

## Settlement rules

This market will resolve according to the player that finishes Round 3 of the main tournament at the 2026 Austin Championship with the lowest cumulative score to par.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 3. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 2. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 1. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 Austin Championship is cancelled, postponed after November 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if an official Round 3 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the event organizer or governing body.

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/pga-tour-austin-championship-third-round-leader
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/2026-austin-championship-third-round-leader?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxpgar1lead?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/pga-tour-austin-championship-third-round-leader

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.