# Philadelphia vs Toronto: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Philadelphia vs Toronto". Philadelphia leads at 66.2%. Next is Draw at 18%. $6K has traded across 3 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 9, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-04T21:06:00Z (1 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 9, 2026
- Volume traded: $6K
- Venues: Polymarket, Kalshi
- Category: sports

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket | Kalshi | Gap between venues |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Philadelphia | 66.2% | 66% | 66% | 0.0 pts |
| Draw | 18% | 18% | 18% | 0.0 pts |
| Toronto | 15.8% | 15.5% | 16% | 0.5 pts |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume, with each venue's margin removed so outcomes add to 100%. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle. Sources: [mlssoccer.com](https://www.mlssoccer.com/schedule/scores).
- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [MLS](https://www.mlssoccer.com/).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/philadelphia-vs-toronto
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/mls-phi-tor-2026-11-07?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmlsgame?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/philadelphia-vs-toronto

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.
