# Pro Basketball Finals MVP Winner: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Pro Basketball Finals MVP Winner". Nickeil Alexander-Walker leads at 38.5%. Next is Shai Gilgeous-Alexander at 34%. $31K has traded across 75 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Aug 8, 2027.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-05T01:24:00Z (1 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Aug 8, 2027
- Volume traded: $31K
- Venues: Kalshi
- Category: sports

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Kalshi |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker | 38.5% | 38.5% |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander | 34% | 34% |
| Victor Wembanyama | 33% | 33% |
| LeBron James | 29% | 29% |
| Luka Dončić | 25% | 25% |
| Tyrese Maxey | 24% | 24% |
| Joel Embiid | 21% | 21% |
| Jalen Brunson | 19% | 19% |
| Jaylen Brown | 18% | 18% |
| Kevin Durant | 14% | 14% |
| Cooper Flagg | 13% | 13% |
| Kyrie Irving | 13% | 13% |
| Stephon Castle | 12% | 12% |
| Tyrese Haliburton | 11.5% | 11.5% |
| Kawhi Leonard | 10.5% | 10.5% |
| Stephen Curry | 9% | 9% |
| Ja Morant | 8.5% | 8.5% |
| Jamal Murray | 8.5% | 8.5% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns | 8.5% | 8.5% |
| Mikal Bridges | 8.5% | 8.5% |
| Nikola Jokić | 8.5% | 8.5% |
| Kon Knueppel | 6.5% | 6.5% |
| Lauri Markkanen | 4.5% | 4.5% |
| Jayson Tatum | 3.5% | 3.5% |
| Dylan Harper | 3% | 3% |
| Anthony Edwards | 2% | 2% |
| Cade Cunningham | 2% | 2% |
| Chet Holmgren | 2% | 2% |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo | 2% | 2% |
| LaMelo Ball | 2% | 2% |
| Scottie Barnes | 2% | 2% |
| AJ Dybantsa | 1% | 1% |
| Ajay Mitchell | 1% | 1% |
| Alperen Sengun | 1% | 1% |
| Amen Thompson | 1% | 1% |
| Andrew Nembhard | 1% | 1% |
| Anthony Davis | 1% | 1% |
| Austin Reaves | 1% | 1% |
| Bam Adebayo | 1% | 1% |
| Brandon Ingram | 1% | 1% |

Showing the top 40 of 75 outcomes. 
"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [the Governing League](https://www.nba.com), [ESPN](https://www.espn.com).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/pro-basketball-finals-mvp-winner
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxnbafinmvp?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/pro-basketball-finals-mvp-winner

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.