# Pro Football Championship Outcome: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Pro Football Championship Outcome". T.J. Watt leads at 59%. Next is Jonathan Greenard at 51.9%. $73.0M has traded across 588 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Feb 22, 2027.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-04T17:53:52Z (3 h ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Feb 22, 2027
- Volume traded: $73.0M
- Venues: Polymarket, Kalshi
- Category: sports

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket | Kalshi | Gap between venues |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| T.J. Watt | 59% | 59% | — | not on both |
| Jonathan Greenard | 51.9% | 51.9% | — | not on both |
| Aidan Hutchinson | 50% | 50% | — | not on both |
| Danielle Hunter | 50% | 50% | — | not on both |
| Josh Sweat | 50% | 50% | — | not on both |
| Nik Bonitto | 50% | 50% | — | not on both |
| Odafe Oweh | 50% | 50% | — | not on both |
| Maxx Crosby | 49.5% | 49.5% | — | not on both |
| Nolan Smith | 49.5% | 49.5% | — | not on both |
| Trey Hendrickson | 49.5% | 49.5% | — | not on both |
| Jaelan Phillips | 47.5% | 47.5% | — | not on both |
| Will Anderson Jr. | 34.5% | 34.5% | — | not on both |
| Josh Allen | 29% | 29% | — | not on both |
| Myles Garrett | 24.8% | 0.1% | — | not on both |
| Joe Burrow | 16.4% | 16.4% | — | not on both |
| Brock Purdy | 14.6% | 14.6% | — | not on both |
| San Francisco 49ers | 14.2% | 14.2% | — | not on both |
| Buffalo Bills | 12.5% | 12.5% | — | not on both |
| Chicago Bears | 12.2% | 12.2% | — | not on both |
| Caleb Williams | 10.8% | 10.8% | — | not on both |
| Kansas City Chiefs | 8.8% | 8.8% | — | not on both |
| Trevor Lawrence | 8.4% | 8.4% | — | not on both |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | 7.9% | 7.9% | — | not on both |
| Los Angeles Rams | 7% | 7% | — | not on both |
| San Francisco beats Buffalo | 6.1% | — | 6.1% | not on both |
| Buffalo beats San Francisco | 6% | — | 6% | not on both |
| Chicago beats Cincinnati | 5.6% | — | 5.6% | not on both |
| David Bailey | 5.5% | 5.5% | — | not on both |
| Chicago beats Buffalo | 5.3% | — | 5.3% | not on both |
| Buffalo beats Chicago | 5.1% | — | 5.1% | not on both |
| Cincinnati Bengals | 4.9% | 4.9% | — | not on both |
| Chicago beats Kansas City | 4.8% | — | 4.8% | not on both |
| Drake Maye | 4.8% | 4.8% | — | not on both |
| Jared Verse | 4.5% | 4.5% | — | not on both |
| Seattle Seahawks | 4.5% | 4.5% | — | not on both |
| Denver Broncos | 4.4% | 4.4% | — | not on both |
| Detroit Lions | 3.9% | 3.9% | — | not on both |
| Jordan Love | 3.8% | 3.8% | — | not on both |
| New England beats Chicago | 3.7% | — | 3.7% | not on both |
| Micah Parsons | 3.3% | 3.3% | — | not on both |

Showing the top 40 of 588 outcomes. 
"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle.
- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [ESPN](https://www.espn.com), [the Governing League](https://www.nfl.com/).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/pro-football-championship-outcome
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/pro-football-2026-27-15-sacks?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxnflsboutcome?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/pro-football-championship-outcome

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.