# Pro Football: Malik Willis 2026-27 Regular Season Passing Touchdowns: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Pro Football: Malik Willis 2026-27 Regular Season Passing Touchdowns". Joe Burrow leads at 92.5%. Next is Jared Goff at 90.2%. $29K has traded across 38 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Jan 27, 2027.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-04T21:21:00Z (2 h ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Jan 27, 2027
- Volume traded: $29K
- Venues: Polymarket, Kalshi
- Category: sports

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket | Kalshi | Gap between venues |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Joe Burrow | 92.5% | — | 98% | not on both |
| Jared Goff | 90.2% | — | 97% | not on both |
| Kirk Cousins | 85% | — | 85% | not on both |
| Brock Purdy | 84% | — | 84% | not on both |
| Trevor Lawrence | 81.3% | — | 87% | not on both |
| 11.5+ passing TDs | 80% | 80% | — | not on both |
| Tyler Shough | 74.5% | — | 52% | not on both |
| Drake Maye | 73% | — | 76% | not on both |
| Matthew Stafford | 70.7% | — | 78% | not on both |
| Jordan Love | 69.5% | — | 76% | not on both |
| Dak Prescott | 66.7% | — | 70% | not on both |
| Bryce Young | 66.6% | — | 77% | not on both |
| Shedeur Sanders | 63.9% | — | 9% | not on both |
| Patrick Mahomes | 57.1% | — | 65% | not on both |
| Aaron Rodgers | 56.7% | — | 40% | not on both |
| Josh Allen | 53.4% | — | 69% | not on both |
| Geno Smith | 51.3% | — | 30.5% | not on both |
| 17.5+ passing TDs | 51% | 51% | — | not on both |
| 20.5+ passing TDs | 51% | 51% | — | not on both |
| Daniel Jones | 49.7% | — | 42.5% | not on both |
| 8.5+ passing TDs | 48.5% | 48.5% | — | not on both |
| 14.5+ passing TDs | 48.5% | 48.5% | — | not on both |
| Baker Mayfield | 44.3% | — | 45% | not on both |
| Tua Tagovailoa | 42.5% | — | 42.5% | not on both |
| Jacoby Brissett | 41.7% | — | 19% | not on both |
| C.J. Stroud | 37.7% | — | 26% | not on both |
| Kyler Murray | 32% | — | 32% | not on both |
| Caleb Williams | 30% | — | 28% | not on both |
| Cam Ward | 28.8% | — | 15% | not on both |
| Sam Darnold | 26.3% | — | 38% | not on both |
| Fernando Mendoza | 21.8% | — | 42.5% | not on both |
| Bo Nix | 21% | — | 19% | not on both |
| Jaxson Dart | 17.2% | — | 8% | not on both |
| Malik Willis | 16.7% | — | 22% | not on both |
| Jayden Daniels | 15.6% | — | 10% | not on both |
| Lamar Jackson | 14% | — | 48% | not on both |
| Justin Herbert | 10.6% | — | 17% | not on both |
| Jalen Hurts | 1.3% | — | 1% | not on both |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle.
- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [ESPN](https://www.espn.com), [the Governing League](https://www.nfl.com/), [Fox Sports](https://www.foxsports.com).

## Settlement rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of passing touchdowns Malik Willis records during the 2026-27 NFL regular season equals or exceeds the listed number. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If Malik Willis does not play in the 2026-27 NFL regular season for any reason, this market will resolve to "No".

If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed games.

If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined how many passing touchdowns Malik Willis recorded within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "50-50".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/pro-football-malik-willis-2026-27-regular-season-passing-touchdowns
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/malik-willis-passing-touchdowns-2026-27?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxnflseasonpasstds?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/pro-football-malik-willis-2026-27-regular-season-passing-touchdowns

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.