# Pro Football Week 10: Most Passing Yards: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Pro Football Week 10: Most Passing Yards". Joe Burrow leads at 73%. Next is 2,999.5+ passing yards at 69%. $78K has traded across 41 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Dec 1, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-15T22:45:41Z (10 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Dec 1, 2026
- Volume traded: $78K
- Venues: Polymarket, Kalshi
- Category: sports

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket | Kalshi | Gap between venues |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Joe Burrow | 73% | 88% | 28% | 60.0 pts |
| 2,999.5+ passing yards | 69% | 69% | — | not on both |
| 3,249.5+ passing yards | 63% | 63% | — | not on both |
| Brock Purdy | 62.8% | 86.5% | 29% | — |
| Jared Goff | 62.2% | 82.6% | 1% | 81.6 pts |
| Patrick Mahomes | 61.3% | 65% | — | not on both |
| Matthew Stafford | 61% | 84% | 47.5% | — |
| Dak Prescott | 60% | 89.5% | 10% | — |
| C.J. Stroud | 59% | 92.5% | 1% | — |
| Jordan Love | 58.3% | 91% | 1% | — |
| Caleb Williams | 51.5% | 52% | — | not on both |
| Josh Allen | 50.4% | 74.5% | 1% | — |
| Bryce Young | 49.9% | 74.5% | 1% | — |
| Deshaun Watson | 49.9% | 49.9% | — | not on both |
| Carson Beck | 47.5% | — | 47.5% | not on both |
| Carson Wentz | 47.5% | — | 47.5% | not on both |
| Trevor Lawrence | 46% | 64% | 6% | — |
| Bo Nix | 42.3% | 34.5% | — | not on both |
| Sam Darnold | 39.2% | 28.5% | — | not on both |
| 3,499.5+ passing yards | 38.5% | 38.5% | — | not on both |
| Tyler Shough | 35.8% | 71% | 0.5% | 70.5 pts |
| Drake Maye | 35% | 45% | 1% | — |
| Justin Herbert | 35% | 30% | — | not on both |
| Kirk Cousins | 31% | 50% | 12% | 38.0 pts |
| Baker Mayfield | 28.5% | 7% | — | not on both |
| Lamar Jackson | 26.2% | 2.5% | — | not on both |
| Aaron Rodgers | 25.5% | 47% | 4% | 43.0 pts |
| Geno Smith | 25.5% | 50% | 1% | 49.0 pts |
| Daniel Jones | 25.3% | 50% | 0.5% | 49.5 pts |
| Michael Penix Jr. | 25.3% | 50% | 0.5% | 49.5 pts |
| Jayden Daniels | 21.5% | 14% | 0.5% | — |
| 3,749.5+ passing yards | 17.5% | 17.5% | — | not on both |
| Cameron Ward | 14.9% | 11.4% | — | not on both |
| Jalen Hurts | 14.7% | 2.9% | — | not on both |
| Malik Willis | 14.2% | 2.4% | — | not on both |
| Kyler Murray | 11.5% | 11.5% | — | not on both |
| Jacoby Brissett | 10.8% | 15% | 6.5% | 8.5 pts |
| 3,999.5+ passing yards | 5.5% | 5.5% | — | not on both |
| Fernando Mendoza | 2.7% | 2.7% | — | not on both |
| Jaxson Dart | 1.7% | 0.7% | — | not on both |

Showing the top 40 of 41 outcomes. 
"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle.
- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [the Governing League](https://www.nfl.com/).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/pro-football-week-10-most-passing-yards
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/pro-football-2026-27-400-passing-yards-in-a-game?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxnflweekmostpassyds?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/pro-football-week-10-most-passing-yards

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.