# Pro Football Week 9: Most Passing Yards: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Pro Football Week 9: Most Passing Yards". C.J. Stroud leads at 80%. Next is Matthew Stafford at 77.6%. $64K has traded across 48 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 24, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-09T15:13:20Z (1 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 24, 2026
- Volume traded: $64K
- Venues: Polymarket, Kalshi
- Category: sports

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket | Kalshi | Gap between venues |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| C.J. Stroud | 80% | 88.5% | 93% | — |
| Matthew Stafford | 77.6% | 86.5% | — | not on both |
| Tyler Shough | 62.1% | 81.5% | 4% | 77.5 pts |
| Jared Goff | 61.3% | 81.4% | 1% | 80.3 pts |
| Joe Burrow | 58.9% | 87% | 2% | 85.0 pts |
| Josh Allen | 55.4% | 80.5% | 8% | — |
| Jordan Love | 55% | 84% | 2% | — |
| Brock Purdy | 53.5% | 80% | 5% | — |
| Dak Prescott | 52.4% | 78.5% | 2% | — |
| Drake Maye | 52.4% | 78.5% | 2% | — |
| Carnell Tate | 50% | 50% | — | not on both |
| CeeDee Lamb | 50% | 50% | — | not on both |
| Dalton Kincaid | 50% | 50% | — | not on both |
| Darnell Washington | 50% | 50% | — | not on both |
| DJ Moore | 50% | 50% | — | not on both |
| Jaylen Warren | 50% | 50% | — | not on both |
| Jordan Mason | 50% | 50% | — | not on both |
| Justin Jefferson | 50% | 50% | — | not on both |
| Kenneth Walker III | 50% | 50% | — | not on both |
| T.J. Hockenson | 50% | 50% | — | not on both |
| Aaron Rodgers | 49.5% | 49.5% | — | not on both |
| DK Metcalf | 49% | 49% | — | not on both |
| Gunnar Helm | 49% | 49% | — | not on both |
| Tony Pollard | 49% | 49% | — | not on both |
| Trevor Lawrence | 42.7% | 76% | 2.5% | — |
| Bryce Young | 42.2% | 50.5% | 2.5% | — |
| Patrick Mahomes | 37% | 46.5% | 5% | — |
| Caleb Williams | 31.8% | 38% | 1% | — |
| Jayden Daniels | 31.7% | 13.5% | — | not on both |
| Deshaun Watson | 30% | 49.9% | 10% | 39.9 pts |
| Bo Nix | 29.3% | 35% | 3% | — |
| Geno Smith | 28.5% | 50% | 7% | 43.0 pts |
| Michael Penix Jr. | 27.8% | 50.5% | 5% | 45.5 pts |
| Daniel Jones | 27.5% | 50% | 5% | 45.0 pts |
| Sam Darnold | 27.3% | 22% | 10% | — |
| Justin Herbert | 26.3% | 26.5% | 3% | — |
| Kirk Cousins | 25.5% | 50% | 1% | 49.0 pts |
| Cameron Ward | 23.1% | 22.1% | — | not on both |
| Malik Willis | 20.6% | 12.9% | 6% | — |
| Baker Mayfield | 20.3% | 8.5% | 2.5% | — |

Showing the top 40 of 48 outcomes. 
"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle.
- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [the Governing League](https://www.nfl.com/).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/pro-football-week-9-most-passing-yards
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/pro-football-2026-27-week-9-scrimmage-yards-leader?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxnflweekmostpassyds?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/pro-football-week-9-most-passing-yards

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.