# Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Maria Sakkari: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Maria Sakkari". Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Maria Sakkari Set Handicap +/-1.5 leads at 70.5%. Next is Maria Sakkari at 58%. $12K has traded across 17 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 13, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-05T16:10:00Z (1 h ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 13, 2026
- Volume traded: $12K
- Venues: Polymarket, Kalshi
- Category: sports

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket | Kalshi | Gap between venues |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Maria Sakkari Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 70.5% | 70.5% | — | not on both |
| Maria Sakkari | 58% | — | 58% | not on both |
| Completed Match | 55% | 55% | — | not on both |
| Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Maria Sakkari Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 53% | 53% | — | not on both |
| Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Maria Sakkari Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 51% | 51% | — | not on both |
| Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Maria Sakkari Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 51% | 51% | — | not on both |
| Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Maria Sakkari Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 49% | 49% | — | not on both |
| Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Maria Sakkari Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 49% | 49% | — | not on both |
| Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Maria Sakkari Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 49% | 49% | — | not on both |
| Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Maria Sakkari Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 49% | 49% | — | not on both |
| Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Maria Sakkari Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 45% | 45% | — | not on both |
| Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Maria Sakkari Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 44.5% | 44.5% | — | not on both |
| Sasnovich | 42.6% | 42.5% | 43% | 0.5 pts |
| Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Maria Sakkari Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 42% | 42% | — | not on both |
| Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Maria Sakkari Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 39% | 39% | — | not on both |
| Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Maria Sakkari Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 36% | 36% | — | not on both |
| Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Maria Sakkari Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 25% | 25% | — | not on both |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle. Sources: [wtatennis.com](https://www.wtatennis.com/scores).
- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [WTA](https://www.wtatennis.com/).

## Settlement rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Aliaksandra Sasnovich and Maria Sakkari in the Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open, originally scheduled for November 6, 2026 at 1:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Aliaksandra Sasnovich' if Aliaksandra Sasnovich advances against Maria Sakkari.

This market will resolve to 'Maria Sakkari' if Maria Sakkari advances against Aliaksandra Sasnovich.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/prudential-hong-kong-tennis-open-aliaksandra-sasnovich-vs-maria-sakkari
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/wta-sasnovi-sakkari-2026-11-06?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxwtamatch?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/prudential-hong-kong-tennis-open-aliaksandra-sasnovich-vs-maria-sakkari

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.