# Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Alexandra Shubladze: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Alexandra Shubladze". Cirstea leads at 73.2%. Next is Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Alexandra Shubladze Set Handicap +/-1.5 at 68%. $15K has traded across 17 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 13, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-06T06:46:03Z (just now)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 13, 2026
- Volume traded: $15K
- Venues: Polymarket, Kalshi
- Category: sports

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket | Kalshi | Gap between venues |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Cirstea | 73.2% | 73.5% | 73% | 0.5 pts |
| Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Alexandra Shubladze Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 68% | 68% | — | not on both |
| Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Alexandra Shubladze Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 68% | 68% | — | not on both |
| Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Alexandra Shubladze Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 67.5% | 67.5% | — | not on both |
| Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Alexandra Shubladze Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 65% | 65% | — | not on both |
| Completed Match | 53% | 53% | — | not on both |
| Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Alexandra Shubladze Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 51% | 51% | — | not on both |
| Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Alexandra Shubladze Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 51% | 51% | — | not on both |
| Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Alexandra Shubladze Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 50% | 50% | — | not on both |
| Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Alexandra Shubladze Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 50% | 50% | — | not on both |
| Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Alexandra Shubladze Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 50% | 50% | — | not on both |
| Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Alexandra Shubladze Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 43.5% | 43.5% | — | not on both |
| Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Alexandra Shubladze Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 40% | 40% | — | not on both |
| Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Alexandra Shubladze Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 37% | 37% | — | not on both |
| Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Alexandra Shubladze Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 33% | 33% | — | not on both |
| Alexandra Shubladze | 27% | — | 27% | not on both |
| Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Alexandra Shubladze Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 21% | 21% | — | not on both |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle. Sources: [wtatennis.com](https://www.wtatennis.com/scores).
- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [WTA](https://www.wtatennis.com/).

## Settlement rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Sorana Cirstea and Alexandra Shubladze in the Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open, originally scheduled for November 6, 2026 at 3:30AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Sorana Cirstea' if Sorana Cirstea advances against Alexandra Shubladze.

This market will resolve to 'Alexandra Shubladze' if Alexandra Shubladze advances against Sorana Cirstea.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/prudential-hong-kong-tennis-open-sorana-cirstea-vs-alexandra-shubladze
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/wta-cirstea-shublad-2026-11-06?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxwtamatch?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/prudential-hong-kong-tennis-open-sorana-cirstea-vs-alexandra-shubladze

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.