# Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Claire Liu: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Claire Liu". Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Claire Liu Game Spread +/-1.5 leads at 70.5%. Next is Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Claire Liu Game Spread +/-1.5 at 69.5%. $6K has traded across 17 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 13, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-06T01:35:03Z (just now)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 13, 2026
- Volume traded: $6K
- Venues: Polymarket, Kalshi
- Category: sports

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket | Kalshi | Gap between venues |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Claire Liu Game Spread +/-1.5 | 70.5% | 70.5% | — | not on both |
| Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Claire Liu Game Spread +/-1.5 | 69.5% | 69.5% | — | not on both |
| Completed Match | 55% | 55% | — | not on both |
| Claire Liu | 53% | — | 53% | not on both |
| Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Claire Liu Game Spread +/-1.5 | 52% | 52% | — | not on both |
| Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Claire Liu Game Spread +/-1.5 | 49% | 49% | — | not on both |
| Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Claire Liu Game Spread +/-1.5 | 49% | 49% | — | not on both |
| Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Claire Liu Game Spread +/-1.5 | 49% | 49% | — | not on both |
| Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Claire Liu Game Spread +/-1.5 | 49% | 49% | — | not on both |
| Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Claire Liu Game Spread +/-1.5 | 48.5% | 48.5% | — | not on both |
| Sonmez | 46.5% | 47.5% | 46% | 1.5 pts |
| Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Claire Liu Game Spread +/-1.5 | 46.5% | 46.5% | — | not on both |
| Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Claire Liu Game Spread +/-1.5 | 43% | 43% | — | not on both |
| Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Claire Liu Game Spread +/-1.5 | 42% | 42% | — | not on both |
| Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Claire Liu Game Spread +/-1.5 | 41% | 41% | — | not on both |
| Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Claire Liu Game Spread +/-1.5 | 28% | 28% | — | not on both |
| Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Claire Liu Game Spread +/-1.5 | 24% | 24% | — | not on both |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle. Sources: [wtatennis.com](https://www.wtatennis.com/scores).
- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [WTA](https://www.wtatennis.com/).

## Settlement rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Zeynep Sonmez and Claire Liu in the Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open, originally scheduled for November 6, 2026 at 1:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Zeynep Sonmez' if Zeynep Sonmez advances against Claire Liu.

This market will resolve to 'Claire Liu' if Claire Liu advances against Zeynep Sonmez.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/prudential-hong-kong-tennis-open-zeynep-sonmez-vs-claire-liu
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/wta-sonmez-liu-2026-11-06?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxwtamatch?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/prudential-hong-kong-tennis-open-zeynep-sonmez-vs-claire-liu

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.