# Putin meets with Iranian officials by...?: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Putin meets with Iranian officials by...?". December 31 leads at 66.7%. Next is November 30 at 24.1%. $2K has traded across 3 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 16, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-09T15:10:20Z (4 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 16, 2026
- Volume traded: $2K
- Venues: Polymarket
- Category: other

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket |
| --- | --- | --- |
| December 31 | 66.7% | 69% |
| November 30 | 24.1% | 25% |
| November 15 | 9.2% | 9.5% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume, with each venue's margin removed so outcomes add to 100%. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle.

## Settlement rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Vladimir Putin meets with one or more Iranian government officials between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Putin and one or more Iranian government officials are present and interact with each other in person.

An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/putin-meets-with-iranian-officials-by-2
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/putin-meets-with-iranian-officials-byptptpt-20261106?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/putin-meets-with-iranian-officials-by-2

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.
