# Qatar Airways Grand Prix of Qatar Winner: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Qatar Airways Grand Prix of Qatar Winner". Marc Marquez leads at 52%. Next is Ai Ogura at 33%. $4K has traded across 20 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 15, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-04T18:00:00Z (4 h ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 15, 2026
- Volume traded: $4K
- Venues: Kalshi
- Category: sports

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Kalshi |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Marc Marquez | 52% | 52% |
| Ai Ogura | 33% | 33% |
| Marco Bezzecchi | 29% | 29% |
| Enea Bastianini | 18% | 18% |
| Fabio Di Giannantonio | 18% | 18% |
| Francesco Bagnaia | 18% | 18% |
| Franco Morbidelli | 18% | 18% |
| Iker Lecuona | 18% | 18% |
| Johann Zarco | 18% | 18% |
| Luca Marini | 18% | 18% |
| Maverick Vinales | 18% | 18% |
| Brad Binder | 17.5% | 17.5% |
| Diogo Moreira | 17.5% | 17.5% |
| Alex Rins | 5% | 5% |
| Augusto Fernandez | 5% | 5% |
| Pedro Acosta | 5% | 5% |
| Fabio Quartararo | 2.5% | 2.5% |
| Jack Miller | 2.5% | 2.5% |
| Joan Mir | 2.5% | 2.5% |
| Alex Marquez | 1% | 1% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [MotoGP](https://www.motogp.com/en).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/qatar-airways-grand-prix-of-qatar-winner
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmotogprace?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/qatar-airways-grand-prix-of-qatar-winner

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.