# Rai vs Marinkov: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Rai vs Marinkov". Pavle Marinkov leads at 87%. Next is Sydney: Ajeet Rai vs Pavle Marinkov Set 1 Winner at 50%. $138K has traded across 10 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 29, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-15T05:21:41Z (12 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 29, 2026
- Volume traded: $138K
- Venues: Polymarket, Kalshi
- Category: sports

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket | Kalshi | Gap between venues |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Pavle Marinkov | 87% | — | 87% | not on both |
| Sydney: Ajeet Rai vs Pavle Marinkov Set 1 Winner | 50% | 50% | — | not on both |
| Sydney: Ajeet Rai vs Pavle Marinkov Set 1 Winner | 50% | 50% | — | not on both |
| Sydney: Ajeet Rai vs Pavle Marinkov Set 1 Winner | 50% | 50% | — | not on both |
| Sydney: Ajeet Rai vs Pavle Marinkov Set 1 Winner | 50% | 50% | — | not on both |
| Sydney: Ajeet Rai vs Pavle Marinkov Set 1 Winner | 50% | 50% | — | not on both |
| Sydney: Ajeet Rai vs Pavle Marinkov Set 1 Winner | 50% | 50% | — | not on both |
| Rai | 14.9% | 20.5% | 13% | 7.5 pts |
| Sydney: Ajeet Rai vs Pavle Marinkov Set 1 Winner | 0.4% | 0.4% | — | not on both |
| Sydney: Ajeet Rai vs Pavle Marinkov Set 1 Winner | 0.1% | 0.1% | — | not on both |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle. Sources: [atptour.com](https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current).
- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [ATP](https://www.atptour.com/).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/rai-vs-marinkov
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/atp-rai-marinko-2026-11-14?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxatpchallengermatch?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/rai-vs-marinkov

---
Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.