# Rain during the Brazilian Grand Prix?: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Rain during the Brazilian Grand Prix?". Yes leads at 63%. $1K has traded across 1 outcome on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 16, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-04T21:10:00Z (1 h ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 16, 2026
- Volume traded: $1K
- Venues: Polymarket
- Category: sports

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Yes | 63% | 63% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle.

## Settlement rules

This market resolves "Yes" if the RAINFALL trace on the FIA Race Weather Report for the 2026 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix registers 'Wet' at any point during the Race session for the 2026 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix taking place on November 8, 2026. This market will resolve "No" if the RAINFALL trace on the FIA Race Weather Report for the 2026 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix does not register 'Wet' at any point.

The 2026 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix refers to the race held at Autódromo José Carlos Pace (Interlagos), listed by the FIA as the São Paulo Grand Prix.

This market covers the Race session only. Rain during Free Practice, Qualifying, Sprint or any other session does not affect this market's resolution. If the Race is suspended or restarted, the FIA Race Weather Report covering the complete, final classified running of the Race is the resolution source. If the 2026 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix is canceled or postponed to a date after November 16, 2026, this market resolves "No".

Declarations by Race Control that "the track is wet", broadcast commentary, news reporting, or any other secondary sources do not qualify for resolution, only the FIA's official Race Weather Report for the 2026 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix will qualify.

If the FIA Race Weather Report has not been published by November 16, 2026, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve off the FIA Weather Report which will be available on the Event&Timing Information page: https://www.fia.com/events/fia-formula-one-world-championship/season-2026/formula-one. If this link is unavailable, the report will be located via FIA's official F1 season hub at fia.com.

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/rain-during-the-brazilian-grand-prix
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-it-rain-during-the-brazilian-grand-prix?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/rain-during-the-brazilian-grand-prix

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.