# Rain in Las Vegas in Nov 2026?: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Rain in Las Vegas in Nov 2026?". Above 1 inch leads at 21%. Next is Above 2 inches at 13%. $24K has traded across 7 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Dec 1, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-04T21:17:00Z (2 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Dec 1, 2026
- Volume traded: $24K
- Venues: Kalshi
- Category: climate

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Kalshi |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Above 1 inch | 21% | 21% |
| Above 2 inches | 13% | 13% |
| Above 3 inches | 6% | 6% |
| Above 4 inches | 5% | 5% |
| Above 5 inches | 1% | 1% |
| Above 6 inches | 1% | 1% |
| Above 7 inches | 1% | 1% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [The Weather Company](https://weather.com/kalshi), [National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration](https://www.noaa.gov/), [National Weather Service](https://www.weather.gov/).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/rain-in-las-vegas-in-nov-2026
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxrainlvm?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/rain-in-las-vegas-in-nov-2026

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.