# Raman's LA margin vs. Talarico's Texas margin?: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Raman's LA margin vs. Talarico's Texas margin?". Talarico by 5-10 leads at 68%. Next is Talarico by 0-5 at 15.6%. $34K has traded across 8 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Jan 8, 2027.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-04T21:06:00Z (just now)
- Expected to resolve by: Jan 8, 2027
- Volume traded: $34K
- Venues: Kalshi
- Category: other

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Kalshi |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Talarico by 5-10 | 68% | 87% |
| Talarico by 0-5 | 15.6% | 20% |
| Talarico by 10-15 | 6.2% | 8% |
| Raman by 10-15 | 5.5% | 7% |
| Raman by 0-5 | 1.6% | 2% |
| Talarico by 15+ | 1.5% | 2% |
| Raman by 5-10 | 0.8% | 1% |
| Raman by 15+ | 0.8% | 1% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume, with each venue's margin removed so outcomes add to 100%. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [Los Angeles County Registrar-Recorder/County Clerk](https://results.lavote.gov/), [Texas Secretary of State](https://goelect.txelections.civixapps.com/ivis-enr-ui/races).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/ramans-la-margin-vs-talaricos-texas-margin
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxramantalarico?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/ramans-la-margin-vs-talaricos-texas-margin

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.