# Real Madrid CF vs. PSV: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Real Madrid CF vs. PSV". Real Madrid leads at 82.2%. Next is Draw at 10.7%. $11K has traded across 3 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 24, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-13T10:40:40Z (9 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 24, 2026
- Volume traded: $11K
- Venues: Polymarket, Kalshi
- Category: sports

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket | Kalshi | Gap between venues |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Real Madrid | 82.2% | 82.5% | 83% | 0.5 pts |
| Draw | 10.7% | 10.5% | 11% | 0.5 pts |
| Eindhoven | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7% | 0.5 pts |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume, with each venue's margin removed so outcomes add to 100%. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle. Sources: [uefa.com](https://www.uefa.com/).
- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [ESPN](https://www.espn.com/), [Fox Sports](https://www.foxsports.com/).

## Settlement rules

In the upcoming UEFA Champions League game between Real Madrid CF and PSV, originally scheduled for Tuesday, November 24, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event):

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/real-madrid-cf-vs-psv
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/ucl-rma-psv-2026-11-24?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxuclgame?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/real-madrid-cf-vs-psv

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.