# Real Madrid CF vs. RC Celta de Vigo: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Real Madrid CF vs. RC Celta de Vigo". Real Madrid leads at 81%. Next is Real Madrid CF at 81%. $24K has traded across 6 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 21, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-08T20:50:13Z (1 d ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 21, 2026
- Volume traded: $24K
- Venues: Polymarket, Kalshi
- Category: sports

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket | Kalshi | Gap between venues |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Real Madrid | 81% | — | 81% | not on both |
| Real Madrid CF | 81% | 81% | — | not on both |
| Draw (Real Madrid CF vs. RC Celta de Vigo) | 13% | 13% | — | not on both |
| Tie | 12% | — | 12% | not on both |
| Celta Vigo | 7% | — | 7% | not on both |
| RC Celta de Vigo | 6.5% | 6.5% | — | not on both |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle. Sources: [laliga.com](https://www.laliga.com/).
- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [ESPN](https://www.espn.com/), [Fox Sports](https://www.foxsports.com/).

## Settlement rules

In the upcoming La Liga game between Real Madrid CF and RC Celta de Vigo, originally scheduled for Saturday, November 21, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event):

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/real-madrid-cf-vs-rc-celta-de-vigo
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/lal-rea-cel-2026-11-21?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxlaligagame?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/real-madrid-cf-vs-rc-celta-de-vigo

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.