# Repsol Grand Prix of Portugal Winner: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Repsol Grand Prix of Portugal Winner". Marc Marquez leads at 28.2%. Next is Marco Bezzecchi at 17.8%. $1K has traded across 20 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 22, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-13T03:14:40Z (just now)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 22, 2026
- Volume traded: $1K
- Venues: Kalshi
- Category: sports

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Kalshi |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Marc Marquez | 28.2% | 30% |
| Marco Bezzecchi | 17.8% | 19% |
| Fabio Di Giannantonio | 8.4% | 9% |
| Pedro Acosta | 6.6% | 7% |
| Ai Ogura | 3.3% | 3.5% |
| Alex Marquez | 2.8% | 3% |
| Diogo Moreira | 2.8% | 3% |
| Enea Bastianini | 2.8% | 3% |
| Fabio Quartararo | 2.8% | 3% |
| Franco Morbidelli | 2.8% | 3% |
| Jack Miller | 2.8% | 3% |
| Joan Mir | 2.8% | 3% |
| Johann Zarco | 2.8% | 3% |
| Alex Rins | 1.9% | 2% |
| Augusto Fernandez | 1.9% | 2% |
| Brad Binder | 1.9% | 2% |
| Francesco Bagnaia | 1.9% | 2% |
| Iker Lecuona | 1.9% | 2% |
| Luca Marini | 1.9% | 2% |
| Maverick Vinales | 1.9% | 2% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume, with each venue's margin removed so outcomes add to 100%. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [MotoGP](https://www.motogp.com/en).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/repsol-grand-prix-of-portugal-winner
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmotogprace?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/repsol-grand-prix-of-portugal-winner

---
Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.