# Rincon vs De la Fuente: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Rincon vs De la Fuente". Daniel Rincon leads at 61%. Next is Lima: Daniel Rincon vs Santiago De La Fuente at 56.5%. $338K has traded across 10 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 24, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-10T16:44:05Z (13 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 24, 2026
- Volume traded: $338K
- Venues: Polymarket, Kalshi
- Category: sports

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket | Kalshi | Gap between venues |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Daniel Rincon | 61% | — | 61% | not on both |
| Lima: Daniel Rincon vs Santiago De La Fuente | 56.5% | 56.5% | — | not on both |
| Lima: Daniel Rincon vs Santiago De La Fuente | 50% | 50% | — | not on both |
| Lima: Daniel Rincon vs Santiago De La Fuente | 50% | 50% | — | not on both |
| Lima: Daniel Rincon vs Santiago De La Fuente | 50% | 50% | — | not on both |
| Lima: Daniel Rincon vs Santiago De La Fuente | 50% | 50% | — | not on both |
| Lima: Daniel Rincon vs Santiago De La Fuente | 50% | 50% | — | not on both |
| Lima: Daniel Rincon vs Santiago De La Fuente | 50% | 50% | — | not on both |
| Lima: Daniel Rincon vs Santiago De La Fuente | 50% | 50% | — | not on both |
| Santiago De la Fuente | 40% | — | 40% | not on both |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle. Sources: [atptour.com](https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current).
- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [ATP](https://www.atptour.com/).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/rincon-vs-de-la-fuente
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/atp-rincon-fuente-2026-11-10?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxatpchallengermatch?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/rincon-vs-de-la-fuente

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.