# Rodionov vs Martinez: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Rodionov vs Martinez". Jurij Rodionov leads at 77%. Next is Orleans: Jurij Rodionov vs Pedro Martinez at 74.5%. $5K has traded across 13 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 25, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-11T04:19:05Z (12 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 25, 2026
- Volume traded: $5K
- Venues: Polymarket, Kalshi
- Category: sports

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket | Kalshi | Gap between venues |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Jurij Rodionov | 77% | — | 77% | not on both |
| Orleans: Jurij Rodionov vs Pedro Martinez | 74.5% | 74.5% | — | not on both |
| Orleans: Jurij Rodionov vs Pedro Martinez | 69.5% | 69.5% | — | not on both |
| Orleans: Jurij Rodionov vs Pedro Martinez | 61.5% | 61.5% | — | not on both |
| Orleans: Jurij Rodionov vs Pedro Martinez | 55.5% | 55.5% | — | not on both |
| Orleans: Jurij Rodionov vs Pedro Martinez | 50% | 50% | — | not on both |
| Completed Match | 48% | 48% | — | not on both |
| Orleans: Jurij Rodionov vs Pedro Martinez | 47% | 47% | — | not on both |
| Orleans: Jurij Rodionov vs Pedro Martinez | 46.5% | 46.5% | — | not on both |
| Orleans: Jurij Rodionov vs Pedro Martinez | 44% | 44% | — | not on both |
| Orleans: Jurij Rodionov vs Pedro Martinez | 31.5% | 31.5% | — | not on both |
| Pedro Martinez | 24% | — | 24% | not on both |
| Orleans: Jurij Rodionov vs Pedro Martinez | 13.5% | 13.5% | — | not on both |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle. Sources: [atptour.com](https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current).
- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [ATP](https://www.atptour.com/).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/rodionov-vs-martinez
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/atp-rodiono-martine-2026-11-09?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxatpchallengermatch?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/rodionov-vs-martinez

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.