# Rolex Paris Masters: Luca Van Assche vs Rinky Hijikata: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Rolex Paris Masters: Luca Van Assche vs Rinky Hijikata". Rolex Paris Masters: Luca Van Assche vs Rinky Hijikata Set 1 O/U 8.5 leads at 79.5%. Next is Rolex Paris Masters: Luca Van Assche vs Rinky Hijikata Set 1 O/U 8.5 at 73.5%. $5K has traded across 17 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 13, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-05T22:53:03Z (58 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 13, 2026
- Volume traded: $5K
- Venues: Polymarket, Kalshi
- Category: sports

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket | Kalshi | Gap between venues |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Luca Van Assche vs Rinky Hijikata Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 79.5% | 79.5% | — | not on both |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Luca Van Assche vs Rinky Hijikata Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 73.5% | 73.5% | — | not on both |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Luca Van Assche vs Rinky Hijikata Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 61.5% | 61.5% | — | not on both |
| Luca Van Assche | 60.8% | 60.5% | 61% | 0.5 pts |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Luca Van Assche vs Rinky Hijikata Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 56% | 56% | — | not on both |
| Completed Match | 55% | 55% | — | not on both |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Luca Van Assche vs Rinky Hijikata Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 55% | 55% | — | not on both |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Luca Van Assche vs Rinky Hijikata Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 54.5% | 54.5% | — | not on both |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Luca Van Assche vs Rinky Hijikata Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 50% | 50% | — | not on both |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Luca Van Assche vs Rinky Hijikata Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 49% | 49% | — | not on both |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Luca Van Assche vs Rinky Hijikata Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 49% | 49% | — | not on both |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Luca Van Assche vs Rinky Hijikata Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 49% | 49% | — | not on both |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Luca Van Assche vs Rinky Hijikata Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 48% | 48% | — | not on both |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Luca Van Assche vs Rinky Hijikata Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 44% | 44% | — | not on both |
| Rinky Hijikata | 40% | — | 40% | not on both |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Luca Van Assche vs Rinky Hijikata Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 35.5% | 35.5% | — | not on both |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Luca Van Assche vs Rinky Hijikata Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 31% | 31% | — | not on both |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle. Sources: [atptour.com](https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current).
- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [ATP](https://www.atptour.com/).

## Settlement rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Luca Van Assche and Rinky Hijikata in the Rolex Paris Masters, originally scheduled for November 6, 2026 at 9:30AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Luca Van Assche' if Luca Van Assche advances against Rinky Hijikata.

This market will resolve to 'Rinky Hijikata' if Rinky Hijikata advances against Luca Van Assche.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/rolex-paris-masters-luca-van-assche-vs-rinky-hijikata
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/atp-assche-hijikat-2026-11-06?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxatpmatch?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/rolex-paris-masters-luca-van-assche-vs-rinky-hijikata

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.