# Samson vs Alves: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Samson vs Alves". Carolina Alves leads at 90%. Next is Completed Match at 55%. $9K has traded across 10 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 24, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-10T21:53:05Z (10 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 24, 2026
- Volume traded: $9K
- Venues: Polymarket, Kalshi
- Category: sports

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket | Kalshi | Gap between venues |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Carolina Alves | 90% | — | 90% | not on both |
| Completed Match | 55% | 55% | — | not on both |
| Sopo: Laura Samson vs Carolina M. Alves | 50% | 50% | — | not on both |
| Sopo: Laura Samson vs Carolina M. Alves | 50% | 50% | — | not on both |
| Sopo: Laura Samson vs Carolina M. Alves | 50% | 50% | — | not on both |
| Sopo: Laura Samson vs Carolina M. Alves | 50% | 50% | — | not on both |
| Sopo: Laura Samson vs Carolina M. Alves | 50% | 50% | — | not on both |
| Sopo: Laura Samson vs Carolina M. Alves | 50% | 50% | — | not on both |
| Sopo: Laura Samson vs Carolina M. Alves | 15.5% | 15.5% | — | not on both |
| Laura Samson | 10% | — | 10% | not on both |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle. Sources: [wtatennis.com](https://www.wtatennis.com/scores).
- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [WTA](https://www.wtatennis.com/).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/samson-vs-alves
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/wta-samson-alves-2026-11-10?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxwtachallengermatch?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/samson-vs-alves

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.