# San Marino vs Belarus: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "San Marino vs Belarus". Belarus leads at 89%. Next is Tie at 26%. $21K has traded across 40 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 14, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-04T21:59:00Z (2 h ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 14, 2026
- Volume traded: $21K
- Venues: Polymarket, Kalshi
- Category: sports

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket | Kalshi | Gap between venues |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Belarus | 89% | — | 89% | not on both |
| Tie | 26% | — | 26% | not on both |
| Any Other Score | 25% | 25% | — | not on both |
| San Marino 0 - 0 Belarus | 25% | 25% | — | not on both |
| San Marino 0 - 2 Belarus | 25% | 25% | — | not on both |
| San Marino 0 - 3 Belarus | 25% | 25% | — | not on both |
| San Marino 0 - 4 Belarus | 25% | 25% | — | not on both |
| San Marino 0 - 5 Belarus | 25% | 25% | — | not on both |
| San Marino 1 - 0 Belarus | 25% | 25% | — | not on both |
| San Marino 1 - 1 Belarus | 25% | 25% | — | not on both |
| San Marino 1 - 2 Belarus | 25% | 25% | — | not on both |
| San Marino 1 - 3 Belarus | 25% | 25% | — | not on both |
| San Marino 1 - 4 Belarus | 25% | 25% | — | not on both |
| San Marino 1 - 5 Belarus | 25% | 25% | — | not on both |
| San Marino 2 - 0 Belarus | 25% | 25% | — | not on both |
| San Marino 2 - 1 Belarus | 25% | 25% | — | not on both |
| San Marino 2 - 3 Belarus | 25% | 25% | — | not on both |
| San Marino 2 - 4 Belarus | 25% | 25% | — | not on both |
| San Marino 2 - 5 Belarus | 25% | 25% | — | not on both |
| San Marino 3 - 0 Belarus | 25% | 25% | — | not on both |
| San Marino 3 - 1 Belarus | 25% | 25% | — | not on both |
| San Marino 3 - 4 Belarus | 25% | 25% | — | not on both |
| San Marino 3 - 5 Belarus | 25% | 25% | — | not on both |
| San Marino 4 - 0 Belarus | 25% | 25% | — | not on both |
| San Marino 4 - 1 Belarus | 25% | 25% | — | not on both |
| San Marino 4 - 2 Belarus | 25% | 25% | — | not on both |
| San Marino 4 - 3 Belarus | 25% | 25% | — | not on both |
| San Marino 4 - 5 Belarus | 25% | 25% | — | not on both |
| San Marino 5 - 0 Belarus | 25% | 25% | — | not on both |
| San Marino 5 - 1 Belarus | 25% | 25% | — | not on both |
| San Marino 5 - 2 Belarus | 25% | 25% | — | not on both |
| San Marino 5 - 3 Belarus | 25% | 25% | — | not on both |
| San Marino 5 - 4 Belarus | 25% | 25% | — | not on both |
| San Marino 3 - 2 Belarus | 20% | 20% | — | not on both |
| San Marino 3 - 3 Belarus | 18% | 18% | — | not on both |
| San Marino 4 - 4 Belarus | 18% | 18% | — | not on both |
| San Marino 2 - 2 Belarus | 15.5% | 15.5% | — | not on both |
| San Marino 5 - 5 Belarus | 13.5% | 13.5% | — | not on both |
| San Marino 0 - 1 Belarus | 13% | 13% | — | not on both |
| San Marino | 5% | — | 5% | not on both |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle. Sources: [uefa.com](https://www.uefa.com/uefanationsleague/).
- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [ESPN](https://www.espn.com/), [Fox Sports](https://www.foxsports.com/).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/san-marino-vs-belarus
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/unl-smr-bela-2026-11-12-exact-score?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxuefanlgame?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/san-marino-vs-belarus

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.