# Santander vs Real Sociedad: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Santander vs Real Sociedad". CE Sabadell FC leads at 55.5%. Next is Real Sociedad at 47%. $15K has traded across 6 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 24, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-09T17:50:20Z (14 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 24, 2026
- Volume traded: $15K
- Venues: Polymarket, Kalshi
- Category: sports

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket | Kalshi | Gap between venues |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| CE Sabadell FC | 55.5% | 55.5% | — | not on both |
| Real Sociedad | 47% | — | 47% | not on both |
| Santander | 31% | — | 31% | not on both |
| Draw (CE Sabadell FC vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol B) | 26.5% | 26.5% | — | not on both |
| Tie | 23.5% | — | 23.5% | not on both |
| Real Sociedad de Fútbol B | 18.5% | 18.5% | — | not on both |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle. Sources: [laliga.com](https://www.laliga.com/en-GB/laliga-hypermotion).
- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [ESPN](https://www.espn.com/), [Fox Sports](https://www.foxsports.com/).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/santander-vs-real-sociedad
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/es2-sab-rso-2026-11-09?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxlaligagame?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/santander-vs-real-sociedad

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.