# SD-AL House election: Nikki Gronli vote percent: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "SD-AL House election: Nikki Gronli vote percent". At least 32% leads at 93%. Next is At least 34% at 91%. $1K has traded across 10 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 3, 2027.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-04T20:11:00Z (1 h ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 3, 2027
- Volume traded: $1K
- Venues: Kalshi
- Category: politics

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Kalshi |
| --- | --- | --- |
| At least 32% | 93% | 93% |
| At least 34% | 91% | 91% |
| At least 36% | 76% | 76% |
| At least 30% | 50% | 50% |
| At least 38% | 16% | 16% |
| At least 42% | 14% | 14% |
| At least 40% | 12% | 12% |
| At least 46% | 6.5% | 6.5% |
| At least 48% | 6.5% | 6.5% |
| At least 44% | 2% | 2% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [Office of the Secretary of State, Pierre, SD](https://sdsos.gov/elections-voting/default.aspx).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/sd-al-house-election-nikki-gronli-vote-percent
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvotegeneral?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/sd-al-house-election-nikki-gronli-vote-percent

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.