# Sean Duffy out as Secretary of Transportation?: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Sean Duffy out as Secretary of Transportation?". Before Jan 1, 2029 leads at 80%. Next is Before Jul 1, 2028 at 73%. $1K has traded across 8 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Jan 1, 2029.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-15T08:21:41Z (41 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Jan 1, 2029
- Volume traded: $1K
- Venues: Kalshi
- Category: politics

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Kalshi |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Before Jan 1, 2029 | 80% | 80% |
| Before Jul 1, 2028 | 73% | 73% |
| Before Jan 1, 2028 | 70% | 70% |
| Before Oct 1, 2027 | 69% | 69% |
| Before Jul 1, 2027 | 51.5% | 51.5% |
| Before Apr 1, 2027 | 41% | 41% |
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | 29% | 29% |
| Before Dec 1, 2026 | 13% | 13% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [the U.S. Department of Transportation](https://www.transportation.gov/newsroom), [The Wall Street Journal](https://www.wsj.com/), [Bloomberg News](https://www.bloomberg.com/news).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/sean-duffy-out-as-secretary-of-transportation
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxduffyannounceout?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/sean-duffy-out-as-secretary-of-transportation

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.