# Sephora credit card spend in November 2026: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Sephora credit card spend in November 2026". Above 100.5 leads at 99%. Next is Above 107 at 95.5%. $3K has traded across 8 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Dec 5, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-15T06:40:41Z (9 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Dec 5, 2026
- Volume traded: $3K
- Venues: Kalshi
- Category: economics

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Kalshi |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Above 100.5 | 99% | 99% |
| Above 107 | 95.5% | 95.5% |
| Above 110.5 | 85% | 85% |
| Above 113.5 | 70.5% | 70.5% |
| Above 116 | 46% | 46% |
| Above 119.5 | 40% | 40% |
| Above 123 | 25% | 25% |
| Above 131 | 4.5% | 4.5% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [Carbon Arc](https://www.carbonarc.co/prisms?prism=17df2c8b-b0da-4b62-97e5-b58b6583263e&entity=Sephora).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/sephora-credit-card-spend-in-november-2026
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxsephoracc?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/sephora-credit-card-spend-in-november-2026

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.