# Silver Slugger: NL First Baseman: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Silver Slugger: NL First Baseman". Matt Olson leads at 72%. Next is Bryce Harper at 48.5%. $2K has traded across 12 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Dec 8, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-04T21:04:00Z (1 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Dec 8, 2026
- Volume traded: $2K
- Venues: Kalshi
- Category: sports

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Kalshi |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Matt Olson | 72% | 72% |
| Bryce Harper | 48.5% | 48.5% |
| Freddie Freeman | 48.5% | 48.5% |
| Gavin Sheets | 48.5% | 48.5% |
| Jake Bauers | 48.5% | 48.5% |
| Rafael Devers | 48.5% | 48.5% |
| Spencer Steer | 48.5% | 48.5% |
| Spencer Steer | 48.5% | 48.5% |
| T.J. Rumfield | 48.5% | 48.5% |
| Tie/Co-Winners | 40% | 40% |
| Luis García | 7% | 7% |
| Alec Burleson | 4% | 4% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [the Governing League](https://www.mlb.com/).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/silver-slugger-nl-first-baseman
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmlbss?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/silver-slugger-nl-first-baseman

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.