# Sopo: Maria Herazo vs Marina Bassols Ribera: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Sopo: Maria Herazo vs Marina Bassols Ribera". Marina Bassols Ribera leads at 95%. Next is Completed Match at 52%. $3K has traded across 13 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 16, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-09T15:42:20Z (13 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 16, 2026
- Volume traded: $3K
- Venues: Polymarket, Kalshi
- Category: sports

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket | Kalshi | Gap between venues |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Marina Bassols Ribera | 95% | — | 95% | not on both |
| Completed Match | 52% | 52% | — | not on both |
| Sopo: Maria Herazo vs Marina Bassols Ribera | 50% | 50% | — | not on both |
| Sopo: Maria Herazo vs Marina Bassols Ribera | 50% | 50% | — | not on both |
| Sopo: Maria Herazo vs Marina Bassols Ribera | 50% | 50% | — | not on both |
| Sopo: Maria Herazo vs Marina Bassols Ribera | 50% | 50% | — | not on both |
| Sopo: Maria Herazo vs Marina Bassols Ribera | 49.5% | 49.5% | — | not on both |
| Sopo: Maria Herazo vs Marina Bassols Ribera | 49.5% | 49.5% | — | not on both |
| Sopo: Maria Herazo vs Marina Bassols Ribera | 49.5% | 49.5% | — | not on both |
| Sopo: Maria Herazo vs Marina Bassols Ribera | 49.5% | 49.5% | — | not on both |
| Sopo: Maria Herazo vs Marina Bassols Ribera | 49.5% | 49.5% | — | not on both |
| Maria Fernanda Herazo Gonzalez | 6% | — | 6% | not on both |
| Sopo: Maria Herazo vs Marina Bassols Ribera | 5% | 5% | — | not on both |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle. Sources: [wtatennis.com](https://www.wtatennis.com/scores).
- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [WTA](https://www.wtatennis.com/).

## Settlement rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Maria Herazo and Marina Bassols Ribera in the Sopo, originally scheduled for November 9, 2026 at 11:30AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Maria Herazo' if Maria Herazo advances against Marina Bassols Ribera.

This market will resolve to 'Marina Bassols Ribera' if Marina Bassols Ribera advances against Maria Herazo.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/sopo-maria-herazo-vs-marina-bassols-ribera
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/wta-herazo-ribera-2026-11-09?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxwtachallengermatch?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/sopo-maria-herazo-vs-marina-bassols-ribera

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.