# Sopo: Tatjana Maria vs Alice Tubello: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Sopo: Tatjana Maria vs Alice Tubello". Alice Tubello leads at 72%. Next is Sopo: Tatjana Maria vs Alice Tubello at 50%. $8K has traded across 12 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 18, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-11T15:45:05Z (1 d ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 18, 2026
- Volume traded: $8K
- Venues: Polymarket, Kalshi
- Category: sports

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket | Kalshi | Gap between venues |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Alice Tubello | 72% | — | 72% | not on both |
| Sopo: Tatjana Maria vs Alice Tubello | 50% | 50% | — | not on both |
| Sopo: Tatjana Maria vs Alice Tubello | 50% | 50% | — | not on both |
| Sopo: Tatjana Maria vs Alice Tubello | 50% | 50% | — | not on both |
| Sopo: Tatjana Maria vs Alice Tubello | 50% | 50% | — | not on both |
| Sopo: Tatjana Maria vs Alice Tubello | 46.5% | 46.5% | — | not on both |
| Sopo: Tatjana Maria vs Alice Tubello | 43% | 43% | — | not on both |
| Sopo: Tatjana Maria vs Alice Tubello | 37% | 37% | — | not on both |
| Sopo: Tatjana Maria vs Alice Tubello | 36.5% | 36.5% | — | not on both |
| Sopo: Tatjana Maria vs Alice Tubello | 31% | 31% | — | not on both |
| Tatjana Maria | 27% | — | 27% | not on both |
| Sopo: Tatjana Maria vs Alice Tubello | 18.5% | 18.5% | — | not on both |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle. Sources: [wtatennis.com](https://www.wtatennis.com/scores).
- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [WTA](https://www.wtatennis.com/).

## Settlement rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Tatjana Maria and Alice Tubello in the Sopo, originally scheduled for November 11, 2026 at 12:00PM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Tatjana Maria' if Tatjana Maria advances against Alice Tubello.

This market will resolve to 'Alice Tubello' if Alice Tubello advances against Tatjana Maria.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/sopo-tatjana-maria-vs-alice-tubello
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/wta-maria-tubello-2026-11-11?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxwtachallengermatch?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/sopo-tatjana-maria-vs-alice-tubello

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.