# South Carolina Senate: margin of victory: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "South Carolina Senate: margin of victory". Andrews, 1+ pts leads at 99.5%. Next is Andrews, 2+ pts at 99.4%. $397K has traded across 22 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 3, 2027.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-05T00:39:00Z (just now)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 3, 2027
- Volume traded: $397K
- Venues: Polymarket, Kalshi
- Category: politics

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket | Kalshi | Gap between venues |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Andrews, 1+ pts | 99.5% | — | 99.5% | not on both |
| Andrews, 2+ pts | 99.4% | — | 99.4% | not on both |
| Andrews Wins | 99% | 99% | — | not on both |
| Andrews, 3+ pts | 98.5% | — | 98.5% | not on both |
| Andrews, 4+ pts | 93.1% | — | 93.1% | not on both |
| Annie Andrews, 4-6% | 92% | — | 92% | not on both |
| Andrews, 6+ pts | 9.7% | — | 9.7% | not on both |
| Andrews, 10+ pts | 6% | — | 6% | not on both |
| Andrews, 9+ pts | 4.3% | — | 4.3% | not on both |
| Annie Andrews, 2-4% | 4% | — | 4% | not on both |
| Andrews, 5+ pts | 3.2% | — | 3.2% | not on both |
| Andrews, 8+ pts | 2.9% | — | 2.9% | not on both |
| Andrews, 7+ pts | 1% | — | 1% | not on both |
| Annie Andrews, ≥6% | 1% | — | 1% | not on both |
| Annie Andrews, 0-2% | 1% | — | 1% | not on both |
| Graham 15-20% | 0.5% | 0.5% | — | not on both |
| Graham 10-15% | 0.4% | 0.4% | — | not on both |
| Graham 25-30% | 0.2% | 0.2% | — | not on both |
| Graham 0-5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | — | not on both |
| Graham 5-10% | 0.1% | 0.1% | — | not on both |
| Graham 20-25% | 0.1% | 0.1% | — | not on both |
| Graham 30%+ | 0.1% | 0.1% | — | not on both |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle.
- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [South Carolina State Election Commission](https://scvotes.gov).

## Settlement rules

Kalshi event status: open

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/south-carolina-senate-margin-of-victory-2
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/south-carolina-senate-margin-of-victory-2026?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmidtermmov?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/south-carolina-senate-margin-of-victory-2

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.