# South Carolina's 2nd District margin of victory: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "South Carolina's 2nd District margin of victory". Wilson, 1+ pts leads at 79%. Next is Republican 0-5% at 44.5%. $48K has traded across 17 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 3, 2027.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-04T20:12:00Z (1 h ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 3, 2027
- Volume traded: $48K
- Venues: Polymarket, Kalshi
- Category: other

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket | Kalshi | Gap between venues |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Wilson, 1+ pts | 79% | — | 79% | not on both |
| Republican 0-5% | 44.5% | 44.5% | — | not on both |
| Republican 0-5% | 24.7% | 24.7% | — | not on both |
| Republican 10-15% | 4.5% | 4.5% | — | not on both |
| Republican 15-20% | 4.4% | 4.4% | — | not on both |
| Wilson, 4+ pts | 2.7% | — | 2.7% | not on both |
| Wilson, 16+ pts | 2.1% | — | 2.1% | not on both |
| Wilson, 7+ pts | 2% | — | 2% | not on both |
| Wilson, 10+ pts | 2% | — | 2% | not on both |
| Wilson, 13+ pts | 2% | — | 2% | not on both |
| Wilson, 19+ pts | 1.6% | — | 1.6% | not on both |
| Wilson, 22+ pts | 1% | — | 1% | not on both |
| Republican 5-10% | 1% | 1% | — | not on both |
| Wilson, 25+ pts | 0.3% | — | 0.3% | not on both |
| Democrat 5%+ | 0.1% | 0.1% | — | not on both |
| Republican 20-25% | 0.1% | 0.1% | — | not on both |
| Republican 25%+ | 0.1% | 0.1% | — | not on both |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle.
- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [South Carolina State Election Commission](https://scvotes.gov).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/south-carolinas-2nd-district-margin-of-victory
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/sc-02-house-margin-of-victory-2026?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmidtermmov?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/south-carolinas-2nd-district-margin-of-victory

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.