# South Carolina's 3rd District margin of victory: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "South Carolina's 3rd District margin of victory". Biggs, 25+ pts leads at 98%. Next is Biggs, 28+ pts at 98%. $29K has traded across 19 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 3, 2027.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-04T20:11:00Z (1 h ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 3, 2027
- Volume traded: $29K
- Venues: Polymarket, Kalshi
- Category: other

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket | Kalshi | Gap between venues |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Biggs, 25+ pts | 98% | — | 98% | not on both |
| Biggs, 28+ pts | 98% | — | 98% | not on both |
| Republican 25-30% | 47.8% | 47.8% | — | not on both |
| Republican 30-35% | 46% | 46% | — | not on both |
| Republican 35-40% | 35.6% | 35.6% | — | not on both |
| Republican 20-25% | 17.6% | 17.6% | — | not on both |
| Republican 0-10% | 2.6% | 2.6% | — | not on both |
| Biggs, 31+ pts | 2.1% | — | 2.1% | not on both |
| Biggs, 34+ pts | 2.1% | — | 2.1% | not on both |
| Biggs, 43+ pts | 1.4% | — | 1.4% | not on both |
| Biggs, 37+ pts | 1.4% | — | 1.4% | not on both |
| Biggs, 40+ pts | 1.4% | — | 1.4% | not on both |
| Republican 45-50% | 1.4% | 1.4% | — | not on both |
| Biggs, 46+ pts | 1.1% | — | 1.1% | not on both |
| Biggs, 49+ pts | 1% | — | 1% | not on both |
| Republican 40-45% | 0.6% | 0.6% | — | not on both |
| Democrat Wins | 0.3% | 0.3% | — | not on both |
| Republican 10-20% | 0.1% | 0.1% | — | not on both |
| Republican 50%+ | 0.1% | 0.1% | — | not on both |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle.
- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [South Carolina State Election Commission](https://scvotes.gov).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/south-carolinas-3rd-district-margin-of-victory
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/sc-03-house-margin-of-victory-2026?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmidtermmov?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/south-carolinas-3rd-district-margin-of-victory

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.