# Sporting CP vs Manchester United: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Sporting CP vs Manchester United". Liverpool FC leads at 55%. Next is Manchester United at 38%. $68K has traded across 43 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 27, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-12T22:48:25Z (13 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 27, 2026
- Volume traded: $68K
- Venues: Polymarket, Kalshi
- Category: sports

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket | Kalshi | Gap between venues |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Liverpool FC | 55% | 55% | — | not on both |
| Manchester United | 38% | — | 38% | not on both |
| Sporting CP | 38% | — | 38% | not on both |
| Sporting CP 0 - 0 Manchester United FC | 37.5% | 37.5% | — | not on both |
| Tie | 27% | — | 27% | not on both |
| Sporting CP 0 - 3 Manchester United FC | 24.5% | 24.5% | — | not on both |
| Sporting CP 1 - 3 Manchester United FC | 24.5% | 24.5% | — | not on both |
| Sporting CP 3 - 1 Manchester United FC | 24.5% | 24.5% | — | not on both |
| Sporting CP 0 - 2 Manchester United FC | 24.5% | 24.5% | — | not on both |
| Sporting CP 2 - 0 Manchester United FC | 24% | 24% | — | not on both |
| Sporting CP 3 - 0 Manchester United FC | 23.5% | 23.5% | — | not on both |
| Draw (Liverpool FC vs. Manchester United FC) | 23% | 23% | — | not on both |
| Manchester United FC | 22.5% | 22.5% | — | not on both |
| Sporting CP 0 - 5 Manchester United FC | 21.5% | 21.5% | — | not on both |
| Sporting CP 1 - 4 Manchester United FC | 21.5% | 21.5% | — | not on both |
| Sporting CP 4 - 1 Manchester United FC | 21.5% | 21.5% | — | not on both |
| Sporting CP 5 - 1 Manchester United FC | 21.5% | 21.5% | — | not on both |
| Sporting CP 5 - 3 Manchester United FC | 21.5% | 21.5% | — | not on both |
| Sporting CP 0 - 4 Manchester United FC | 21% | 21% | — | not on both |
| Sporting CP 1 - 2 Manchester United FC | 21% | 21% | — | not on both |
| Sporting CP 4 - 0 Manchester United FC | 21% | 21% | — | not on both |
| Sporting CP 1 - 5 Manchester United FC | 20.5% | 20.5% | — | not on both |
| Sporting CP 3 - 5 Manchester United FC | 20.5% | 20.5% | — | not on both |
| Sporting CP 4 - 3 Manchester United FC | 20.5% | 20.5% | — | not on both |
| Sporting CP 5 - 0 Manchester United FC | 20.5% | 20.5% | — | not on both |
| Sporting CP 5 - 4 Manchester United FC | 20% | 20% | — | not on both |
| Sporting CP 2 - 1 Manchester United FC | 18.5% | 18.5% | — | not on both |
| Any Other Score | 16.5% | 16.5% | — | not on both |
| Sporting CP 0 - 1 Manchester United FC | 15.5% | 15.5% | — | not on both |
| Sporting CP 2 - 2 Manchester United FC | 14% | 14% | — | not on both |
| Sporting CP 4 - 5 Manchester United FC | 14% | 14% | — | not on both |
| Sporting CP 1 - 0 Manchester United FC | 13.5% | 13.5% | — | not on both |
| Sporting CP 1 - 1 Manchester United FC | 13.5% | 13.5% | — | not on both |
| Sporting CP 5 - 5 Manchester United FC | 5% | 5% | — | not on both |
| Sporting CP 2 - 3 Manchester United FC | 4.5% | 4.5% | — | not on both |
| Sporting CP 2 - 4 Manchester United FC | 4.5% | 4.5% | — | not on both |
| Sporting CP 3 - 2 Manchester United FC | 4.5% | 4.5% | — | not on both |
| Sporting CP 3 - 3 Manchester United FC | 4.5% | 4.5% | — | not on both |
| Sporting CP 4 - 2 Manchester United FC | 4.5% | 4.5% | — | not on both |
| Sporting CP 2 - 5 Manchester United FC | 4% | 4% | — | not on both |

Showing the top 40 of 43 outcomes. 
"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle. Sources: [premierleague.com](https://www.premierleague.com/).
- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [ESPN](https://www.espn.com/), [Fox Sports](https://www.foxsports.com/).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/sporting-cp-vs-manchester-united
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/epl-liv-mun-2026-11-22?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxuclgame?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/sporting-cp-vs-manchester-united

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.