# Supreme Court sides with Apple in Epic Games appeal?: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Supreme Court sides with Apple in Epic Games appeal?". Yes leads at 84.5%. $4K has traded across 1 outcome on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Aug 2, 2027.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-04T22:22:00Z (5 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Aug 2, 2027
- Volume traded: $4K
- Venues: Polymarket
- Category: ai_tech

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Yes | 84.5% | 84.5% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle.

## Settlement rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States Supreme Court, in Apple Inc. v. Epic Games, Inc. (No. 25-1311), issues a decision on the merits that reverses or vacates, in whole or in part, the Ninth Circuit’s judgment under review (its affirmance of the district court’s 2025 contempt ruling against Apple and the accompanying modifications to the injunction on App Store anti-steering rules and developer fees), by August 1, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Only a decision on the merits of this case (a written opinion, summary disposition, or per curiam opinion) will qualify. Emergency orders, stays, and other interim orders will not qualify. A decision that vacates the Ninth Circuit’s judgment and remands for further proceedings will resolve this market to “Yes”. A decision that affirms the Ninth Circuit’s judgment in full will resolve this market to “No”.

If the case is dismissed as improvidently granted, dismissed for mootness, withdrawn or settled (including by a settlement between Apple and Epic Games), or otherwise concluded without a decision on the merits, or no qualifying decision has been issued by August 1, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”, regardless of whether the case remains pending.

This market will resolve based on the Supreme Court’s decision in this case. Other related cases or legislation will not affect resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Supreme Court; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/supreme-court-sides-with-apple-in-epic-games-appeal
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/supreme-court-rules-for-apple-in-epic-games-appeal?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/supreme-court-sides-with-apple-in-epic-games-appeal

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.