# Swan vs Saigo: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Swan vs Saigo". Swan leads at 99.4%. Next is Set Handicap: Katie Swan (-1.5) vs Rina Saigo (+1.5) at 50%. $4K has traded across 4 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 19, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-05T04:09:00Z (just now)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 19, 2026
- Volume traded: $4K
- Venues: Polymarket, Kalshi
- Category: sports

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket | Kalshi | Gap between venues |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Swan | 99.4% | 99.5% | 99% | 0.5 pts |
| Set Handicap: Katie Swan (-1.5) vs Rina Saigo (+1.5) | 50% | 50% | — | not on both |
| Rina Saigo | 1% | — | 1% | not on both |
| Set Handicap: Rina Saigo (-1.5) vs Katie Swan (+1.5) | 0.4% | 0.4% | — | not on both |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle. Sources: [itftennis.com](https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/).
- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [ESPN](https://www.espn.com), [ITF](https://www.itftennis.com/en/), [Fox Sports](https://www.foxsports.com).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/swan-vs-saigo
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/itf-swan1-saigo1-2026-11-05?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxitfwmatch?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/swan-vs-saigo

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.