# Target transactions change in Q3 2026: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Target transactions change in Q3 2026". Above 0% leads at 98%. Next is Above 2.5% at 83%. $34K has traded across 11 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Jul 29, 2027.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-04T21:11:00Z (1 h ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Jul 29, 2027
- Volume traded: $34K
- Venues: Kalshi
- Category: economics

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Kalshi |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Above 0% | 98% | 98% |
| Above 2.5% | 83% | 83% |
| Above 3% | 72% | 72% |
| Above 3.5% | 59% | 59% |
| Above 4% | 45% | 45% |
| Above 4.5% | 32% | 32% |
| Above 5% | 22% | 22% |
| Above 5.5% | 14% | 14% |
| Above 6% | 6% | 6% |
| Above 6.5% | 4% | 4% |
| Above 9% | 1% | 1% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [Fiscal.ai](https://fiscal.ai).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/target-transactions-change-in-q3-2026
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtgt?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/target-transactions-change-in-q3-2026

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.