# Taylor Fritz vs Carlos Alcaraz: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Taylor Fritz vs Carlos Alcaraz". Carlos Alcaraz leads at 72.3%. Next is Taylor Fritz at 27.7%. $4K has traded across 2 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 20, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-06T01:32:03Z (just now)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 20, 2026
- Volume traded: $4K
- Venues: Kalshi
- Category: sports

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Kalshi |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Carlos Alcaraz | 72.3% | 73% |
| Taylor Fritz | 27.7% | 28% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume, with each venue's margin removed so outcomes add to 100%. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [ATP](https://www.atptour.com/).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/taylor-fritz-vs-carlos-alcaraz
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxatpmatch?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/taylor-fritz-vs-carlos-alcaraz

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.