# Taylor Swift daily view count hits ___ in November?: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Taylor Swift daily view count hits ___ in November?". Above 11M leads at 99%. Next is Above 13.1M at 99%. $45K has traded across 48 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Dec 1, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-05T01:27:00Z (just now)
- Expected to resolve by: Dec 1, 2026
- Volume traded: $45K
- Venues: Polymarket, Kalshi
- Category: culture

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket | Kalshi | Gap between venues |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Above 11M | 99% | — | 99% | not on both |
| Above 13.1M | 99% | — | 99% | not on both |
| Above 11.25M | 98% | — | 98% | not on both |
| Above 13.2M | 98% | — | 98% | not on both |
| Above 11.5M | 97% | — | 97% | not on both |
| Above 13.3M | 95.8% | — | 98% | not on both |
| Above 11.75M | 94.5% | — | 94.5% | not on both |
| Above 13.6M | 94% | — | 98% | not on both |
| Above 13.4M | 92% | — | 98% | not on both |
| Above 13.9M | 90% | — | 96% | not on both |
| Above 12M | 90% | — | 90% | not on both |
| Above 12.25M | 74% | — | 74% | not on both |
| Above 13.7M | 72.8% | — | 97% | not on both |
| Above 13M | 72.3% | — | 99% | not on both |
| Above 13.8M | 72% | — | 96% | not on both |
| 14.5M | 66% | 66% | — | not on both |
| Above 13.5M | 63.5% | — | 98% | not on both |
| Above 12.5M | 59% | — | 59% | not on both |
| Above 14.1M | 58% | — | 75% | not on both |
| Above 14.3M | 56% | — | 78% | not on both |
| Above 14.2M | 54% | — | 78% | not on both |
| 15M | 50% | 50% | — | not on both |
| Above 14.4M | 49% | — | 80% | not on both |
| Above 14.8M | 47.3% | — | 80% | not on both |
| Above 12.75M | 46% | — | 46% | not on both |
| Above 14.6M | 45% | — | 76% | not on both |
| Above 14.7M | 43.8% | — | 75% | not on both |
| Above 14M | 42.8% | — | 78% | not on both |
| Above 14.9M | 42% | — | 72% | not on both |
| Above 15.2M | 41.8% | — | 73.5% | not on both |
| Above 15.3M | 40.8% | — | 72% | not on both |
| Above 15.1M | 40.5% | — | 70.5% | not on both |
| 14.75M | 39.5% | 39.5% | — | not on both |
| 15.5M | 37.5% | 37.5% | — | not on both |
| Above 15.4M | 37% | — | 66% | not on both |
| Above 15.7M | 36.8% | — | 67% | not on both |
| Above 14.5M | 31.7% | — | 75% | not on both |
| Above 15M | 28.5% | — | 71.5% | not on both |
| Above 15.6M | 28.3% | — | 50% | not on both |
| 15.25M | 25% | 25% | — | not on both |

Showing the top 40 of 48 outcomes. 
"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle.
- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [YouTube Charts](https://charts.youtube.com/US).

## Settlement rules

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if Taylor Swift's daily global YouTube view count for any single day in November 2026 is reported at or above the specified number by market expiry. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will consider figures reported for all calendar days within the specified timeframe, including revisions to those figures, until market expiry.

This market will expire at the earliest of: (i) the first release of the figure for the final specified calendar day; OR (ii) the seventh day after the final specified calendar day, 11:59 PM ET.

Only global view counts will be used. Regional and country-specific figures will not be used.

This market will resolve according to the figures attributed to the specified artist by the resolution source, regardless of which channel the views occurred on. If the resolution source attributes views to the specified artist for a video on which the specified artist is a featured or credited contributor, those views will count.

The resolution source for this market will be the daily global view counts on Taylor Swift's artist profile published on YouTube Charts (https://charts.youtube.com/artist/%2Fm%2F0dl567).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/taylor-swift-daily-view-count-hits-in-november
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/taylor-swift-daily-view-count-hits-in-november?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxytviewsw?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/taylor-swift-daily-view-count-hits-in-november

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.