# Team to Make the 3rd Overall Pick in the 2027 Pro Football Draft: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Team to Make the 3rd Overall Pick in the 2027 Pro Football Draft". Buffalo Bills leads at 98.5%. Next is San Francisco 49ers at 97.7%. $395K has traded across 82 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by May 15, 2027.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-13T19:48:31Z (13 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: May 15, 2027
- Volume traded: $395K
- Venues: Polymarket, Kalshi
- Category: sports

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket | Kalshi | Gap between venues |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Buffalo Bills | 98.5% | 98.5% | — | not on both |
| San Francisco 49ers | 97.7% | 97.7% | — | not on both |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | 94.9% | 94.9% | — | not on both |
| Denver Broncos | 92% | 92% | — | not on both |
| Cincinnati Bengals | 91.5% | 91.5% | — | not on both |
| Kansas City Chiefs | 89.5% | 89.5% | — | not on both |
| Chicago Bears | 86.5% | 86.5% | — | not on both |
| Detroit Lions | 76% | 76% | — | not on both |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | 73.5% | 73.5% | — | not on both |
| Minnesota Vikings | 70.5% | 70.5% | — | not on both |
| Green Bay Packers | 65.5% | 65.5% | — | not on both |
| New England Patriots | 63.7% | 63.7% | — | not on both |
| Seattle Seahawks | 52.5% | 52.5% | — | not on both |
| New York Giants | 51% | 51% | — | not on both |
| Los Angeles Rams | 43.5% | 43.5% | — | not on both |
| Houston Texans | 39.5% | 39.5% | — | not on both |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 37.5% | 37.5% | — | not on both |
| Dallas Cowboys | 35% | 35% | — | not on both |
| Drew Mestemaker | 33.5% | 33.5% | — | not on both |
| Byrum Brown | 27.8% | 27.8% | — | not on both |
| Carolina Panthers | 25.5% | 25.5% | — | not on both |
| Cleveland Browns | 24.7% | 24.7% | — | not on both |
| Duce Robinson | 24.4% | 24.4% | — | not on both |
| New York J | 20% | — | 20% | not on both |
| Atlanta Falcons | 19.5% | 19.5% | — | not on both |
| New Orleans Saints | 19% | 19% | — | not on both |
| Washington Commanders | 19% | 19% | — | not on both |
| Los Angeles C | 17% | — | 17% | not on both |
| Baltimore Ravens | 16% | 16% | — | not on both |
| Miami | 16% | — | 16% | not on both |
| Las Vegas Raiders | 12% | 12% | — | not on both |
| Darian Mensah | 10.8% | 10.8% | — | not on both |
| Ellis Robinson IV | 10.4% | 10.4% | — | not on both |
| CJ Carr | 10% | 10% | — | not on both |
| Tennessee | 10% | — | 10% | not on both |
| Philadelphia | 9% | — | 9% | not on both |
| LaNorris Sellers | 8% | 8% | — | not on both |
| Trinidad Chambliss | 7.1% | 7.1% | — | not on both |
| Arch Manning | 5.9% | 5.9% | — | not on both |
| David Stone | 4.8% | 4.8% | — | not on both |

Showing the top 40 of 82 outcomes. 
"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle.
- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [ESPN](https://espn.com), [the Governing League](https://www.nfl.com/).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/team-to-make-the-3rd-overall-pick-in-the-2027-pro-football-draft
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/2027-pro-football-draft-1st-overall-pick?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxnfldraftselect?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/team-to-make-the-3rd-overall-pick-in-the-2027-pro-football-draft

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.
