# Tesla production in Q1 2027: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Tesla production in Q1 2027". Above 325,000 leads at 97%. Next is Above 350,000 at 93%. $4K has traded across 11 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Jul 31, 2027.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-04T21:10:00Z (1 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Jul 31, 2027
- Volume traded: $4K
- Venues: Kalshi
- Category: economics

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Kalshi |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Above 325,000 | 97% | 97% |
| Above 350,000 | 93% | 93% |
| Above 375,000 | 89% | 89% |
| Above 400,000 | 73% | 73% |
| Above 425,000 | 57% | 57% |
| Above 450,000 | 32% | 32% |
| Above 475,000 | 24% | 24% |
| Above 525,000 | 6% | 6% |
| Above 500,000 | 3.5% | 3.5% |
| Above 550,000 | 2.5% | 2.5% |
| Above 575,000 | 2.5% | 2.5% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [Fiscal.ai](https://fiscal.ai).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/tesla-production-in-q1-2027
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtsla?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/tesla-production-in-q1-2027

---
Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.