# "The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping" Opening Weekend Box Office (Highest Brackets): prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for ""The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping" Opening Weekend Box Office (Highest Brackets)". 130m+ leads at 42.8%. Next is 120m-125m at 14.9%. $3K has traded across 7 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 22, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-12T03:13:05Z (9 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 22, 2026
- Volume traded: $3K
- Venues: Polymarket
- Category: culture

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket |
| --- | --- | --- |
| 130m+ | 42.8% | 59.5% |
| 120m-125m | 14.9% | 20.7% |
| 115m-120m | 14.7% | 20.5% |
| 105m-110m | 13.6% | 19% |
| 105m | 7.5% | 10.5% |
| 110m-115m | 3.6% | 5.1% |
| 125m-130m | 2.9% | 4% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume, with each venue's margin removed so outcomes add to 100%. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle.

## Settlement rules

This market will resolve according to how much "The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping" will gross domestically on its 3-day opening weekend (November 20 - 22).

This market will resolve as soon as a final (i.e., not studio estimates) opening weekend figure is available, and no later than December 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The primary resolution source is the opening weekend figure in the "Weekend Box Office Performance" table on the "Box Office" tab of this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page. If The Numbers does not have a final figure by December 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the "Weekend" figure for the movie's first weekend on the "Domestic Weekend" tab of this movie's Box Office Mojo (https://www.boxofficemojo.com/) release page.

If neither source has a final figure by December 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the figure The Numbers reports at that time, or, if The Numbers reports none, the figure Box Office Mojo reports at that time. If neither source reports any figure by December 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

This market will resolve according to the figure for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/the-hunger-games-sunrise-on-the-reaping-opening-weekend-box-office-highest-brackets
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/the-hunger-games-sunrise-on-the-reaping-opening-weekend-box-office-highest-brackets?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/the-hunger-games-sunrise-on-the-reaping-opening-weekend-box-office-highest-brackets

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.