# Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jan-Lennard Struff: Set 1 Winner: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jan-Lennard Struff: Set 1 Winner". Thiago Agustin Tirante leads at 89%. Next is Rolex Paris Masters: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jan-Lennard Struff at 70.5%. $62K has traded across 18 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 18, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-04T18:29:00Z (2 h ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 18, 2026
- Volume traded: $62K
- Venues: Polymarket, Kalshi
- Category: sports

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket | Kalshi | Gap between venues |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Thiago Agustin Tirante | 89% | — | 89% | not on both |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jan-Lennard Struff | 70.5% | 70.5% | — | not on both |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jan-Lennard Struff | 57% | 57% | — | not on both |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jan-Lennard Struff | 52.5% | 52.5% | — | not on both |
| Completed Match | 50% | 50% | — | not on both |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jan-Lennard Struff | 50% | 50% | — | not on both |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jan-Lennard Struff | 50% | 50% | — | not on both |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jan-Lennard Struff | 50% | 50% | — | not on both |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jan-Lennard Struff | 50% | 50% | — | not on both |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jan-Lennard Struff | 50% | 50% | — | not on both |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jan-Lennard Struff | 50% | 50% | — | not on both |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jan-Lennard Struff | 50% | 50% | — | not on both |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jan-Lennard Struff | 48.5% | 48.5% | — | not on both |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jan-Lennard Struff | 47.5% | 47.5% | — | not on both |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jan-Lennard Struff | 40% | 40% | — | not on both |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jan-Lennard Struff | 37.5% | 37.5% | — | not on both |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jan-Lennard Struff | 25.5% | 25.5% | — | not on both |
| Jan-Lennard Struff | 11% | — | 11% | not on both |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle. Sources: [atptour.com](https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current).
- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [ATP](https://www.atptour.com/).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/thiago-agustin-tirante-vs-jan-lennard-struff-set-1-winner
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/atp-tirante-struff-2026-11-04?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxatpsetwinner?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/thiago-agustin-tirante-vs-jan-lennard-struff-set-1-winner

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.