# Thompson vs Covato: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Thompson vs Covato". Matteo Covato leads at 60%. Next is Kai Thompson at 40%. $1K has traded across 2 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 25, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-11T08:58:05Z (8 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 25, 2026
- Volume traded: $1K
- Venues: Kalshi
- Category: sports

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Kalshi |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Matteo Covato | 60% | 60% |
| Kai Thompson | 40% | 40% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume, with each venue's margin removed so outcomes add to 100%. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [ESPN](https://www.espn.com), [ITF](https://www.itftennis.com/en/), [Fox Sports](https://www.foxsports.com).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/thompson-vs-covato
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxitfmatch?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/thompson-vs-covato

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.