# Toledo vs Sacramento St.: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Toledo vs Sacramento St.". Toledo O/U 20.5 leads at 80.1%. Next is O/U 37.5 at 77.5%. $1.6M has traded across 228 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 6, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-05T01:22:15Z (just now)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 6, 2026
- Volume traded: $1.6M
- Venues: Polymarket, Kalshi
- Category: sports

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket | Kalshi | Gap between venues |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Toledo O/U 20.5 | 80.1% | 80.1% | — | not on both |
| O/U 37.5 | 77.5% | 77.5% | — | not on both |
| Spread: Toledo (-2.5) | 77% | 77% | — | not on both |
| Toledo | 73.2% | 73.5% | 73% | 0.5 pts |
| Toledo O/U 23.5 | 68.5% | 68.5% | — | not on both |
| Spread: Toledo (-5.5) | 55.5% | 55.5% | — | not on both |
| Spread: Toledo (-6.5) | 53.5% | 53.5% | — | not on both |
| O/U 39.5 | 53% | 53% | — | not on both |
| O/U 41.5 | 53% | 53% | — | not on both |
| Spread: Toledo (-4.5) | 52% | 52% | — | not on both |
| Spread: Toledo (-3.5) | 51% | 51% | — | not on both |
| Toledo Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 51% | 51% | — | not on both |
| Toledo Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 51% | 51% | — | not on both |
| Pick-Six Scored | 50.5% | 50.5% | — | not on both |
| Sacramento State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50.5% | 50.5% | — | not on both |
| Toledo vs. Sacramento State: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 50.5% | 50.5% | — | not on both |
| Toledo vs. Sacramento State: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 50.5% | 50.5% | — | not on both |
| 1H Moneyline | 50% | 50% | — | not on both |
| 1H O/U 21.5 | 50% | 50% | — | not on both |
| 1H Spread -12.5 | 50% | 50% | — | not on both |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% | 50% | — | not on both |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 50% | 50% | — | not on both |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 50% | 50% | — | not on both |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 50% | 50% | — | not on both |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 50% | 50% | — | not on both |
| 2H O/U 33.5 | 50% | 50% | — | not on both |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 50% | 50% | — | not on both |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 50% | 50% | — | not on both |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 50% | 50% | — | not on both |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 50% | 50% | — | not on both |
| 2H Spread -11.5 | 50% | 50% | — | not on both |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 50% | 50% | — | not on both |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% | 50% | — | not on both |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 50% | 50% | — | not on both |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 50% | 50% | — | not on both |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 50% | 50% | — | not on both |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 50% | 50% | — | not on both |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 50% | 50% | — | not on both |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 50% | 50% | — | not on both |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 50% | 50% | — | not on both |

Showing the top 40 of 228 outcomes. 
"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle. Sources: [ncaa.com](https://www.ncaa.com/).
- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [Kalshi using information originating from the NCAA](https://www.ncaa.com/sports/football/fbs), [ESPN](https://www.espn.com).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/toledo-vs-sacramento-st
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/cfb-toledo-sacst-2026-11-04?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxncaafgame?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/toledo-vs-sacramento-st

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.